Key Messages

The 2021 Global Agricultural Productivity Report® (GAP Report®) urges the acceleration of productivity growth at all production scales to meet consumers’ needs and address current and future threats to human and environmental well-being.

Productivity growth remains the primary source of agricultural output growth globally. Still, the USDA Economic Research Service’s new methodology for calculating total factor productivity (TFP) reveals it is not growing as fast as previously thought.

Globally, TFP grew by an average of 1.36 percent annually (2010 to 2019), well below the Global Agricultural Productivity Index™ target of 1.73 percent. (USDA ERS, 2021)

Middle-income countries, including India, China, Brazil, and the countries of the former USSR,
continue to have the most robust TFP growth rates.

Low-income countries, home to many small-scale farmers, have a negative TFP growth rate of -0.31 percent annually.

Nearly all agricultural output growth in low-income countries comes from land use change, the destruction of forests and grasslands for cultivation and grazing.

Human-caused climate change has slowed global agricultural productivity growth by 21 percent
since 1961. In drier regions of Africa and Latin America, climate change has slowed productivity growth by as much as 34 percent. (Ortiz-Bobea et al., 2021)

Maximizing agriculture’s climate change mitigation potential is essential for sustainability, yet for most of the world’s producers, adapting to climate change and protecting their livelihoods is the most immediate challenge.

Small and large farms can be equally efficient: with access to various productivity-enhancing
inputs, agronomic knowledge, and markets, producers of all scales can optimize their productive potential. (Fuglie et al., 2019)

Given its proven effectiveness in boosting productivity and economic growth, investments in public-sector agricultural research and extension need significant increases. (FAO, 2018)

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