McKinsey Global Farmer Insights 2024: Productivity Growth Takes Center Stage


Translating farm-level insights into actionable strategies

March 27, 2025

ARTICLE
A recent McKinsey survey of 4,400 farmers across nine countries in Europe, North America, Latin America, and India reveals that improving productivity has become farmers’ top priority in response to rising input costs, extreme weather events, and volatile commodity prices. This focus on productivity aligns with the growing recognition that prioritizing sustainable agricultural productivity growth is essential for addressing food security and environmental challenges.

Key Challenges and Regional Differences

The survey identified input prices as the top global concern, though extreme weather events have risen in importance, becoming the primary concern in Europe and Latin America. In response, farmers are increasingly focused on improving yields, capturing higher prices, and reducing input costs.

Regional outlook varies dramatically. Most North American and European farmers expect lower profits (64% and 55%, respectively), while optimism prevails in Latin America and India (58% and 76% anticipating higher profits). These differences stem from regional supply-demand dynamics and commodity price trends, with declining crop prices in North America and Europe contrasting with more favorable market conditions in other regions.

Technology Adoption and Barriers

Digital agronomy and precision agriculture lead technology adoption globally, with North American farmers showing the highest adoption rates and Latin America the fastest growth. Sustainable practices such as crop rotation and reduced tillage are widespread, while biological products show promising growth, particularly in Brazil where government initiatives have supported adoption.

Farmers consistently cite unclear return on investment and high implementation costs as significant barriers to technology adoption. Farm size emerges as a critical factor, with larger operations more likely to invest in advanced solutions. The majority of farmers continue to prefer in-person interactions for purchasing decisions, with distributors maintaining significant influence in most regions.

Implications for Agricultural Productivity Growth

These findings align closely with frameworks presented in recent Global Agricultural Productivity Reports. The 2023 GAP Report, “Every Farmer, Every Tool,” identifies three interconnected factors affecting adoption of productivity-enhancing tools: the enabling environment, behavioral influences, and external forces. The 2024 GAP Report, “Powering Productivity,” builds on this by focusing on bridging the “Valley of Death” – the gap between developing innovative solutions and their widespread adoption.

The McKinsey survey confirms how farm size, infrastructure, and market dynamics influence technology adoption rates. It validates the importance of behavioral factors, with farmers’ perceptions of ROI significantly impacting adoption decisions. The rising concern about extreme weather events exemplifies how external shocks shape the agricultural technology landscape.

The solution proposed in the 2024 GAP Report – “high impact bundles” that combine productivity tools with distribution mechanisms, socioeconomic support, and policy levers – addresses both supply and demand barriers. The McKinsey findings on the influential role of distributors and farmers’ preference for in-person interactions highlight why such bundled approaches are essential.

Moving forward, organizations supporting farmers must demonstrate clear ROI for new technologies, tailor solutions to different contexts, and build resilience against climate shocks. Achieving the 2% annual TFP growth target will require not just developing new technologies but ensuring they reach farmers at all scales of production through strategic bundling of innovations with effective delivery mechanisms.

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